Written by: Eric Chavez (MTTS Administrator)

Background:
We all feel that there are hundreds of pharmaceuticals stocks to choose from to shove down our throat and buy or short only an arm reach away from grandma’s medicine cabinet. Looking past the opioid epidemic in America, we are taking a look at $TEVA as a stand out this week up 25% this week since Monday rallying off news of TEVA board members appointing 30 year pharma industry veteran Kåre Schultz, current head of H. Lundbeck A/S and former COO of Novo Nordisk A/S (ADR) (NYSE:NVO), its president and CEO. The CEO’s new strategy is to refocus central nervous system disorders and respiratory diseases for specialty medicines.

 

Fundamentals:
• $TEVA (US: NYSE) TEVA: (%) known as Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. ADR is an Israeli multinational pharmaceutical company leading pharmaceutical services company focusing on generic and specialty medicine.
• $TEVA operates under CEO Yitzhak Petersburg as the largest generic drug manufacturer in the world, which has declined over 45% Year to Date (YTD) due to a decline in profit margins in the generic pricing of its drugs.
• $TEVA has a current market cap of $18.29 billion with over 1.2 billion shares outstanding.
• As of 08/15/17 the current short interest is 41.93 million

 

Divestment:
• On September 12th, 2017 Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. entered a definitive agreement to sell its Paragard contraceptive device to CooperSurgical for $1.1 billion including Teva’s manufacturing facility in Buffalo, N.Y., which produces the Paragard product exclusively.
• In a one year timeframe Paragard’s business generated revenues of $168 million whose proceeds can be used to repay existing debt.

 

Analyst Ratings:
1. Research Team- Reduce Rating (Updated: 9/11/17)
2. CFRA- 3 out of 5 stars (Updated: 09/03/17)
3. Ford Equity Research- Hold Rating (Updated 8/31/17)
4. The Street- Sell Rating (Updated: 09/09/17)
5. Market Edge- Avoid Rating (Updated: 09/07/17)

 

Technical Analysis:
finviz dynamic chart for  TEVA

                                                                                                     Target 1: $21.5
                                                                                                     Target 2: $23
                                                                                                     Target 3: $26.50
                                                                                                     STOP: $16
                                                                                                     Long Term Target: $30

The 1 year daily chart of $TEVA shows that the stock is recovering from its high in August 2015 at $72.31 towards it low in September 2017 at $15.22. The chart above created a purple downward sloping trendline created from the high of January 2017 trading at around $37 drifting toward a lower high of $23.25 in August 2017. The stock failed to break above this major line of resistance at $32.25 (i.e., price needed to break above prior high to sustain upward momentum) acting as resistance leading the stock to fall major support and all major moving averages following unsatisfactory earnings of the company which failed to impress major analysts leading to multiple downgrades of the stock.

The stock has managed to bounce off the 20-day simple moving average around the $16 price area which shows potential that the stock has bottomed out, and has begun to show a real reversal higher retesting prior highs if it can break above the 50-day simple moving average at around the $23.25 price area.


Disclaimer:
MTTS Trading LLC, its partners and/or 3rd party affiliates reserve the right to notify that are that all parties noted are in open entry/closing positions in all of the above stocks, options, and/or other forms of equities. The trades provided in the above daily/weekly watchlist are simulations based on MTTS oscillators strictly for educational purposes only, and not to solicit or manipulate any stock, option or other form of equity. Under Section 202(a)(11)(A)-(E) of the Advisers Act this information is not considered investment or portfolio advisement from an authorized broker registered by the S.EC. (Securities Exchange Committee) and is limited to the scope of education in the form of market commentary through simulated trades via MTTS indicators, and other educational tools.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

 


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